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Tropical Storm ERNESTO


ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
800 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

...ERNESTO WEAKENING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTHWARD...AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...INCLUDING ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
NORTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAHAMAS HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED WELL INLAND OVER EASTERN COLLIER COUNTY NEAR LATITUDE 26.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FLORIDA AND ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...
SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
 
ERNESTO IS MOVING ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY
AS THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES OVER LAND ALONG THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER... RAINBANDS CONTAINING STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE TODAY IN THE
WARNING AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER. WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO SUBSIDE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TODAY...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE BAHAMAS.  MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD WELL IN ADVANCE OF
ERNESTO THROUGH GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS TODAY.  THIS COULD
BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN AS FAR NORTH AS VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN
MARYLAND...AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...26.0 N...81.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA

NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:36 UTC