Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
500 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...ERNESTO STRENGTHENS OVER THE ATLANTIC EAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...150 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT
195 MILES...310 KM...SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED
ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION WILL TAKE THE
CENTER OF ERNESTO FARTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TODAY...AND COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE GEORGIA COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES...THROUGH SATURDAY.  THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.  ADDITIONAL ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA TODAY. 
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...30.0 N...80.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB
 
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