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Tropical Storm ERNESTO


ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
500 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

...ERNESTO INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING THE
   FLORIDA KEYS...FLORIDA BAY...AND EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST
HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTHWARD...AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...INCLUDING ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHWARD
TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE
BERRY ISLANDS... THE BIMINIS AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
THIS MORNING.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 25.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR IN NORTHEASTERN MAINLAND MONROE
COUNTY FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 45 MILES... 75 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FLORIDA AND ABOUT 90 MILES...145
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
 
ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DUE TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION
REMAINING OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND ERNESTO COULD WEAKEN TO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. HOWEVER... RAINBANDS CONTAINING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ONSHORE TODAY IN THE WARNING AREAS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER. RECENTLY A WIND GUST TO 58 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE
FOWEY ROCKS C-MAN STATION...AND WINDS GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
HAVE BEEN OCCURRING IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...AND OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE
COUNTIES.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TODAY...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE BAHAMAS.  MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD WELL IN ADVANCE OF
ERNESTO THROUGH GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS TODAY.  THIS COULD
BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN AS FAR NORTH AS VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN
MARYLAND...AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...25.6 N...80.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:36 UTC