Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
1500 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI.
 
INTERESTS IN ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... CUBA...
THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  71.2W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  71.2W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  70.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.8N  73.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.4N  78.1W...OVER JAMAICA
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.9N  80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N  84.0W...OVER WESTERN CUBA
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N  87.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 27.0N  88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  71.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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