Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
0900 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  70.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  70.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  69.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.4N  72.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.6N  74.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N  86.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 26.0N  89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  70.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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