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Tropical Storm DEBBY (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
0900 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 206N  387W 34 49  16(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 12 206N  387W 50  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 206N  387W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 218N  416W 34  X  44(44)  11(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 218N  416W 50  X   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 24 218N  416W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 230N  445W 34  X   2( 2)  38(40)  11(51)   3(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 230N  445W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)   6(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 36 230N  445W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 245N  470W 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  29(37)  14(51)   1(52)   X(52)
 48 245N  470W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   7(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 48 245N  470W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 275N  505W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  33(37)  11(48)   2(50)
 72 275N  505W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   2(22)
 72 275N  505W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 
 
 96 305N  510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  18(36)   8(44)
 96 305N  510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   3(16)
 96 305N  510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
120 345N  495W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)  13(27)
120 345N  495W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)
120 345N  495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      55      65      65      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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