ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 0900 UTC THU AUG 24 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 206N 387W 34 49 16(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) 12 206N 387W 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 206N 387W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 218N 416W 34 X 44(44) 11(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 218N 416W 50 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 24 218N 416W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 230N 445W 34 X 2( 2) 38(40) 11(51) 3(54) X(54) X(54) 36 230N 445W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) 36 230N 445W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 48 245N 470W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 29(37) 14(51) 1(52) X(52) 48 245N 470W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) 48 245N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 275N 505W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 11(48) 2(50) 72 275N 505W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) 2(22) 72 275N 505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 96 305N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 18(36) 8(44) 96 305N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 96 305N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 120 345N 495W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 13(27) 120 345N 495W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 120 345N 495W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 55 65 65 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC