ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 2100 UTC WED AUG 23 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 190N 354W 34 56 14(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 12 190N 354W 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 190N 354W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 203N 383W 34 X 51(51) 12(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 203N 383W 50 X 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 24 203N 383W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 215N 412W 34 X 4( 4) 41(45) 11(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58) 36 215N 412W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 36 215N 412W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 228N 440W 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 31(40) 11(51) 1(52) X(52) 48 228N 440W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) 48 228N 440W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 255N 485W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 10(46) 2(48) 72 255N 485W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) 2(19) 72 255N 485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 96 285N 515W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31) 8(39) 96 285N 515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) 96 285N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 320N 520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 12(27) 120 320N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 120 320N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 55 60 65 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC