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Tropical Storm DEBBY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
0900 UTC WED AUG 23 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 169N  322W 34 70  10(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 12 169N  322W 50  8   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 12 169N  322W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 182N  350W 34  1  58(59)   9(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 24 182N  350W 50  X  14(14)   7(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 182N  350W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 196N  379W 34  X   4( 4)  40(44)   9(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 196N  379W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 196N  379W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 210N  408W 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  26(34)  11(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 48 210N  408W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 210N  408W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 240N  465W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)  10(40)   1(41)
 72 240N  465W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)   X(16)
 72 240N  465W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 275N  510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  22(27)   8(35)
 96 275N  510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)
 96 275N  510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 300N  530W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  10(25)
120 300N  530W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
120 300N  530W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      50      50      60      65      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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