ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 0900 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 24.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 137N 266W 34 22 9(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 12 137N 266W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 137N 266W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 24 151N 293W 34 X 31(31) 10(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 24 151N 293W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 151N 293W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 167N 320W 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 10(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 36 167N 320W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 167N 320W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 183N 348W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) 11(41) 1(42) X(42) 48 183N 348W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) 48 183N 348W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 215N 405W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 9(38) 1(39) 72 215N 405W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) 1(16) 72 215N 405W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 96 245N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 7(33) 96 245N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 96 245N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 120 275N 515W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 120 275N 515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 120 275N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 65 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC