Tropical Depression FOUR

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
0900 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 24.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 137N  266W 34 22   9(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 12 137N  266W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 137N  266W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 151N  293W 34  X  31(31)  10(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 24 151N  293W 50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 151N  293W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 167N  320W 34  X   2( 2)  32(34)  10(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 167N  320W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 167N  320W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 183N  348W 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  25(30)  11(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 48 183N  348W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 48 183N  348W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 215N  405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   9(38)   1(39)
 72 215N  405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)   1(16)
 72 215N  405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 245N  460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)   7(33)
 96 245N  460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)
 96 245N  460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 275N  515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  13(20)
120 275N  515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
120 275N  515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      60      65      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN