ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 2100 UTC MON AUG 21 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 21.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 130N 230W 34 26 13(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 12 130N 230W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 130N 230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 142N 252W 34 1 40(41) 11(52) X(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) 24 142N 252W 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 24 142N 252W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 155N 275W 34 X 4( 4) 37(41) 9(50) 1(51) 1(52) X(52) 36 155N 275W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 36 155N 275W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 170N 300W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 27(35) 10(45) 1(46) X(46) 48 170N 300W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) 48 170N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 200N 355W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 9(35) 1(36) 72 200N 355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) 72 200N 355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 96 235N 410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 6(28) 96 235N 410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 96 235N 410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 265N 465W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 120 265N 465W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 120 265N 465W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 45 50 55 55 60 60 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC