Tropical Depression FOUR

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042006               
2100 UTC MON AUG 21 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 21.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 130N  230W 34 26  13(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 12 130N  230W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 130N  230W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 142N  252W 34  1  40(41)  11(52)   X(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 24 142N  252W 50  X   8( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 142N  252W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 155N  275W 34  X   4( 4)  37(41)   9(50)   1(51)   1(52)   X(52)
 36 155N  275W 50  X   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 36 155N  275W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 170N  300W 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  27(35)  10(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 48 170N  300W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 170N  300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 200N  355W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   9(35)   1(36)
 72 200N  355W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)
 72 200N  355W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 235N  410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)   6(28)
 96 235N  410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
 96 235N  410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
 
120 265N  465W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  12(18)
120 265N  465W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
120 265N  465W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      50      55      55      60      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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