Tropical Depression CHRIS
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
0300 UTC SAT AUG 05 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
ANDROS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
CAMAGUEY 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 218N 758W 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
12 218N 758W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 218N 758W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 222N 783W 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
24 222N 783W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 222N 783W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 228N 810W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
36 228N 810W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 228N 810W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 233N 838W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14)
48 233N 838W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
48 233N 838W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 240N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 1(16)
72 240N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 240N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
96 245N 945W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14)
96 245N 945W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
96 245N 945W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 250N 995W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
120 250N 995W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 250N 995W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 25 25 25 30 35 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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