Tropical Storm CHRIS
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
0300 UTC FRI AUG 04 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 2(16) 1(17)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 2(18) X(18)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) 1(18)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MAYAGUANA 34 1 20(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MAYAGUANA 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 22 23(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
GRAND TURK 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 2(18) 1(19)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) X(15)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 1(20) X(20)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PUERTO PLATA 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 210N 709W 34 31 19(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
12 210N 709W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 210N 709W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 214N 734W 34 1 27(28) 10(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 214N 734W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 214N 734W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 218N 760W 34 X 3( 3) 20(23) 8(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32)
36 218N 760W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 218N 760W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 223N 789W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23)
48 223N 789W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 223N 789W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 235N 840W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) X(17)
72 235N 840W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
72 235N 840W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 245N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14)
96 245N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
96 245N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 250N 945W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
120 250N 945W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 250N 945W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 30 35 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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