Tropical Storm CHRIS

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TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032006
2100 UTC WED AUG 02 2006
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  64.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  64.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  63.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.4N  65.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N  67.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.3N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.7N  71.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  64.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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