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Tropical Storm CHRIS (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM CHRIS SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032006
2130 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  61.1W AT 01/2130Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  61.1W AT 01/2130Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  60.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.5N  62.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.1N  64.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.9N  66.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N  68.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  61.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KNABB
 
 
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