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TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
2100 UTC THU JUL 20 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 30(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
HALIFAX NS 34 X 3( 3) 31(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 24(24) 10(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONCTON NB 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ST JOHN NB 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
EASTPORT ME 34 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CONCORD NH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 17 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
HYANNIS MA 34 58 5(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
HYANNIS MA 50 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NANTUCKET MA 34 76 3(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
NANTUCKET MA 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 31 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
HARTFORD CT 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONTAUK POINT 34 37 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 410N 705W 34 85 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
12 410N 705W 50 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 410N 705W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 430N 670W 34 2 37(39) 5(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
24 430N 670W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 430N 670W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 460N 610W 34 X X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
36 460N 610W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 460N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 35 35 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC