| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Storm BERYL (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022006               
1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   1( 1)  19(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   8( 8)  32(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   2( 2)  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   3( 3)  11(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   6( 6)   8(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  1   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CONCORD NH     34  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BOSTON MA      34  5  19(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BOSTON MA      50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 13  45(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
HYANNIS MA     50  X  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 20  50(70)   2(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X  17(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 17  20(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  8   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 38  13(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
MONTAUK POINT  50  2   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34 12   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 398N  720W 34 94   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 398N  720W 50 22   4(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 12 398N  720W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 417N  690W 34  3  60(63)   4(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 24 417N  690W 50  X  12(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 417N  690W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 435N  650W 34  X   5( 5)  35(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 36 435N  650W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 36 435N  650W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      40       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC