Tropical Storm BERYL
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 33(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 17(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 16(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
EASTPORT ME 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
PORTLAND ME 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
CONCORD NH 34 1 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
BOSTON MA 34 3 17(20) 9(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
BOSTON MA 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 6 34(40) 15(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
HYANNIS MA 50 X 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
HYANNIS MA 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 7 43(50) 14(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X 8( 8) 11(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 8 25(33) 7(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HARTFORD CT 34 6 13(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MONTAUK POINT 34 17 30(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
MONTAUK POINT 50 1 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NEW YORK CITY 34 15 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NEWARK NJ 34 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
TRENTON NJ 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 15 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
BALTIMORE MD 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DOVER DE 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 390N 726W 34 95 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 390N 726W 50 35 9(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
12 390N 726W 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 406N 707W 34 23 47(70) 5(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 406N 707W 50 1 18(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
24 406N 707W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 427N 673W 34 X 7( 7) 40(47) 5(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
36 427N 673W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 427N 673W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 455N 620W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
48 455N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 455N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 45 45 40 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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