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Tropical Storm BERYL


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022006               
0300 UTC THU JUL 20 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  20(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   8(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BOSTON MA      34  2   9(11)  13(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BOSTON MA      50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  3  20(23)  21(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   2( 2)  10(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  4  28(32)  24(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   3( 3)  14(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  3  19(22)  12(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  3  12(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  7  26(33)   9(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  7  12(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  4   9(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  4   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 12   7(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  5   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 13   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 381N  727W 34 97   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 381N  727W 50 48  13(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 12 381N  727W 64  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 24 396N  713W 34 44  37(81)   4(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 24 396N  713W 50  1  26(27)   7(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 24 396N  713W 64  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 36 415N  685W 34  2  12(14)  38(52)   4(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 36 415N  685W 50  X   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 415N  685W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 437N  644W 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  25(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 48 437N  644W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 437N  644W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     50      45      40       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC