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Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
0300Z WED JUN 14 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   3(32)   X(32)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)   X(37)   X(37)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  29(31)   X(31)   X(31)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   1(21)   X(21)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   X(15)   X(15)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  13(26)   X(26)   X(26)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  18(24)   X(24)   X(24)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)  20(44)   X(44)   X(44)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   4(22)   1(23)   X(23)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)  12(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X  14(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X  18(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  3  15(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 14   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34 66   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 336N  802W 34 36   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 12 336N  802W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 336N  802W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 364N  752W 34  X  25(25)   4(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 364N  752W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 364N  752W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 396N  687W 34  X   X( X)  39(39)   7(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 36 396N  687W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 396N  687W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 430N  620W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)   8(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 48 430N  620W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 48 430N  620W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 495N  475W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   6(32)   X(32)
 72 495N  475W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 72 495N  475W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 540N  300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   7(26)
 96 540N  300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 96 540N  300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 550N  100W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
120 550N  100W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
120 550N  100W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      45      50      45      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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