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TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
2100Z TUE JUN 13 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 3(32) X(32)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 1(24) X(24)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) X(26) X(26)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 1(25) X(25)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) 1(41) X(41)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) X(25) X(25)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) X(20) X(20)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 18(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
RALEIGH NC 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 2( 2) 24(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 9( 9) 13(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 20(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 11 14(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
CHARLESTON SC 34 8 12(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
AUGUSTA GA 34 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SAVANNAH GA 34 32 X(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 324N 820W 34 40 X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
12 324N 820W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 324N 820W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 348N 787W 34 X 33(33) 4(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
24 348N 787W 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 348N 787W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 377N 726W 34 X X( X) 38(38) 8(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
36 377N 726W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 377N 726W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 410N 660W 34 X X( X) X( X) 36(36) 7(43) X(43) X(43)
48 410N 660W 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
48 410N 660W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 485N 515W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 6(30) X(30)
72 485N 515W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
72 485N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 530N 340W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 7(26)
96 530N 340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
96 530N 340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 545N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
120 545N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
120 545N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 45 50 45 40 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC