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Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
1500Z TUE JUN 13 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   X(18)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  12(23)   1(24)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   6(25)   X(25)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   5(22)   X(22)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   4(20)   X(20)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   1(24)   X(24)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   2(23)   X(23)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   1(27)   X(27)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   1(23)   X(23)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   X(19)   X(19)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)   X(17)   X(17)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   9(21)   X(21)   X(21)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)  15(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   2( 2)  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)  21(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   2( 2)  23(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   6( 6)  22(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  1  19(20)   3(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
COLUMBIA SC    50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  1  14(15)  16(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  1  31(32)   4(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  2  18(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  6  36(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 17   7(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 58   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 313N  829W 34 44   8(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 12 313N  829W 50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 313N  829W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 334N  805W 34  1  29(30)   5(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 24 334N  805W 50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 334N  805W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 365N  755W 34  X   X( X)  18(18)   8(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 36 365N  755W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 365N  755W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 395N  700W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   7(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 48 395N  700W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 395N  700W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 470N  570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   6(24)   X(24)
 72 470N  570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 72 470N  570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 530N  400W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   7(25)
 96 530N  400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 96 530N  400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 550N  180W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
120 550N  180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
120 550N  180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      35      40      40      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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