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Tropical Depression ONE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
1500Z SAT JUN 10 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HARTFORD CO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
HARTFORD CO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   3(21)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   2(21)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  12(18)   1(19)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   1(14)
COLUMBIA SC    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  11(19)   1(20)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   8(21)   1(22)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   3(14)   1(15)
AUGUSTA GA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   6(24)   X(24)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  24(29)   2(31)   X(31)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
JACKSONVILLE   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  22(28)   3(31)   1(32)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)  20(28)   2(30)   X(30)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  17(22)   2(24)   1(25)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  13(17)   1(18)   X(18)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   6(16)   X(16)   1(17)
MARCO ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   9(21)   1(22)   X(22)
FT MYERS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  12(19)  10(29)   1(30)   X(30)
VENICE FL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  12(18)  16(34)   1(35)   1(36)
TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)  20(37)   1(38)   X(38)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   1(13)   X(13)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)  16(29)   2(31)   X(31)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)  17(31)   2(33)   X(33)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
ST MARKS FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  15(23)  12(35)   1(36)   X(36)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  18(31)  11(42)   1(43)   X(43)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  12(19)  11(30)   1(31)   X(31)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   6(16)   1(17)   X(17)
PENSACOLA FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   2( 2)  13(15)  13(28)   6(34)   X(34)   X(34)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   6(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 24   2(26)   X(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
HAVANA         34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 229N  861W 34 49  17(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 12 229N  861W 50  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 229N  861W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 247N  868W 34  4  49(53)  12(65)   2(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 24 247N  868W 50  X  11(11)   8(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 24 247N  868W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 265N  865W 34  1  16(17)  33(50)   8(58)   3(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 36 265N  865W 50  X   1( 1)  15(16)   5(21)   1(22)   1(23)   X(23)
 36 265N  865W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 278N  852W 34  X   4( 4)  22(26)  19(45)   8(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 48 278N  852W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 278N  852W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 310N  810W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)   4(29)   X(29)
 72 310N  810W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 310N  810W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 365N  740W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   5(22)
 96 365N  740W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 96 365N  740W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 450N  630W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
120 450N  630W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
120 450N  630W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      50      45      45      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC