Tropical Depression ONE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006
0300Z SUN JUN 11 2006
 
INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  86.2W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  86.2W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  86.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N  86.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.5N  77.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 39.5N  70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 48.5N  57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N  86.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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