| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane WILMA (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2005
 
...WILMA STILL INLAND AND DRIFTING NORTHWARD OVER YUCATAN...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAVE PERSISTED OVER YUCATAN FOR 24 HOURS...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...
INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON.  ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE WILMA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST... JUST WEST
OF CANCUN MEXICO... OR ABOUT 400 MILES... 645 KM... SOUTHWEST OF
KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILMA IS ERRATICALLY DRIFTING NORTHWARD... AND A CONTINUED SLOW
NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...
THE CORE OF WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO SEVERELY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY AND TONIGHT... AND
THEN EMERGE NORTH OF THE PENINSULA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT
OR EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 110 MPH...
175 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE
TODAY WHILE WILMA IS OVER LAND... BUT SOME RESTRENGTHENING COULD
OCCUR TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY ONCE WILMA EMERGES OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.  NOAA BUOY 42057 IN THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA... ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF
WILMA... RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 47 MPH... 76 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... WILL
CONTINUE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE EYE ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN
YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10
TO 20 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
APPROACHING 50 INCHES.  RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA INCLUDING
THE KEYS THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
 
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...21.2 N... 87.0 W.  MOVEMENT...
DRIFTING NORTHWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 953 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
$$
NNNN