| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm STAN (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM STAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005
 
...STAN BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
CAMPECHE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST... ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ABOUT 35 MILES... 60 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TULUM MEXICO.
 
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  STAN WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FOR MOST OF TODAY... BUT IS EXPECTED TO
EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHILE
MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... BUT IT COULD RESTRENGTHEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM SOON AFTER EMERGING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO EARLY MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES... 165
KM... MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND NORTHERN BELIZE.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA.

REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...19.7 N... 87.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN