Tropical Storm STAN

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005

...STAN STRENGTHENING OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE SOON...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST OR ABOUT 190
MILES... 305 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY
EARLY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N... 93.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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