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Tropical Storm STAN


ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005

...STAN WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...BUT LIKELY TO BEGIN STRENGTHENING
AGAIN SOON...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES...85 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF
OF MEXICO IN A FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN SQUALLS OVER WATER WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 
STAN IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN AS IT MOVES OVER THE WARM
WATERS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF NEAR 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.8 N... 90.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 03-Oct-2005 02:55:09 UTC