Tropical Depression TWENTY

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT OCT 01 2005

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY APPROACHING THE EAST COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
CAMPECHE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.0 WEST
OR ABOUT   70 MILES... 115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TULUM MEXICO
AND ABOUT   85 MILES... 135 KM...SOUTH OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 
6 MPH... 9 KM/HR.  THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER...THE DEPRESSION
IS STILL IN THE FORMATIVE STAGE... SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION MAY STILL
OCCUR.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE LANDFALL.  SLOW
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES... WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND NORTHERN BELIZE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS
WESTERN CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.3 N... 87.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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