Tropical Depression THREE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED AS 
IT NEARS THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL...
INCLUDING THE BANCO CHINCORRO ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES... 95 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 115
MILES... 190 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON 
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING ONSHORE 
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL.
SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND ON
MONDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...18.9 N... 87.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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