Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005
 
...POORLY ORGANIZED ARLENE AFFECTING WESTERN CUBA WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST
OR ABOUT  110 MILES... 175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS ARE ALREADY
MOVING ONSHORE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.  A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ACCOMPANIED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
MODEST STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...WILL GRADUALLY
SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA... AND INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...20.4 N... 84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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