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Hurricane WILMA


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HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT OCT 22 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT TUE OCT 25 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.0N  87.0W      99  X  X  X 99   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X 13 13
23.0N  86.0W      20  8  1  X 29   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 12 12
24.5N  83.5W       X  9 14  2 25   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 11 11
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  1  2   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  8  8
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  4  7 11   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  7  7
MUSN 216N 826W     X  4  9  2 15   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
MUHA 230N 824W     X  4 13  3 20   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W    16  6  2  X 24   KEY WEST FL        X  1 15  6 22
MMCZ 205N 869W    99  X  X  X 99   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X 14  9 23
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3   FT MYERS FL        X  X 13 10 23
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4   VENICE FL          X  X 13 10 23
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 10 10   TAMPA FL           X  X  9 12 21
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 12 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  5 13 18
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1 17 18   ST MARKS FL        X  X  2 11 13
MMMD 210N 897W    10  2  X  X 12   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  3 10 13
MARATHON FL        X  X 12  8 20   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  2  8 10
MIAMI FL           X  X  7 13 20   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  5 16 21   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  4 17 21   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  5 10 15
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  3 18 21   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  3  5  8
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2 17 19   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  2  1  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1 15 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
C FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
D FROM  1AM MON TO  1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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