Hurricane WILMA

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HURRICANE WILMA SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.1N  84.2W      43  X  X  X 43   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
19.2N  85.0W      17  9  1  X 27   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
20.4N  85.5W       1 18  3  1 23   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     8  2  2  2 14   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  7  8
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  2  6  8   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  4  6  4 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  4  8 12   VENICE FL          X  X  X  5  5
MUAN 219N 850W     X  6  8  5 19   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 14  5  2 21   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     1  7  2  2 12   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  1  X  2  3   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2
MHNJ 165N 859W    16  1  X  1 18   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MMMD 210N 897W     X  1  8  5 14   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  3  3
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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