Tropical Storm RITA

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TROPICAL STORM RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU SEP 22 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.6N  78.5W      46  X  X  X 46   VENICE FL          X  5 12  2 19
24.0N  81.2W       3 28  1  X 32   TAMPA FL           X  1 10  3 14
24.2N  84.0W       X  5 16  2 23   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  3  5  8
MUCM 214N 779W    11  1  X  1 13   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W     4 13  1  X 18   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  6  7
MUSN 216N 826W     X  5  4  2 11   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  6  6
MUHA 230N 824W     X 17  4  1 22   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  7  4 11   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  4  4
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  4  5   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  4  4
MYMM 224N 730W    99  X  X  X 99   BURAS LA           X  X  X  7  7
MYSM 241N 745W    73  X  X  X 73   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  5  5
MYEG 235N 758W    79  X  X  1 80   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W    56  X  X  X 56   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W    44  X  X  X 44   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     8 15  X  X 23   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  4  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MARATHON FL        3 30  X  X 33   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           5 26  X  X 31   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    1 21  1  1 24   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2  8 10
FT PIERCE FL       X 11  5  1 17   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  9  9
COCOA BEACH FL     X  4  6  2 12   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X 11 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  4  3  7   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  9  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  7  7
KEY WEST FL        1 27  2  X 30   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  4  4
MARCO ISLAND FL    X 21  5  1 27   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  4  4
FT MYERS FL        X 13  9  1 23   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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