Tropical Storm RITA

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TROPICAL STORM RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED SEP 21 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.1N  77.5W      45  X  X  X 45   VENICE FL          X  1 12  4 17
24.3N  80.1W       5 23  1  X 29   TAMPA FL           X  X  7  5 12
24.2N  83.0W       X  7 12  2 21   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  6  7
MUCM 214N 779W     2  X  1  X  3   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     1  6  1  1  9   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  3  3  7   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  4  4
MUHA 230N 824W     X  7  7  2 16   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  3  6  9   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  4  4   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
MYMM 224N 730W    99  X  X  X 99   BURAS LA           X  X  X  5  5
MYSM 241N 745W    74  X  X  X 74   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  4  4
MYEG 235N 758W    61  1  X  X 62   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W    44  X  X  X 44   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W    43  1  X  X 44   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     6 20  X  X 26   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  4  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
MARATHON FL        X 23  3  X 26   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           1 24  2  X 27   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  8  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X 18  4  1 23   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  8  7  2 17   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X 10 10
COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  7  2 11   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  8  8
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2  4  6   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  6  6
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  4  4
KEY WEST FL        X 17  6  1 24   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
MARCO ISLAND FL    X 12 10  1 23   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
FT MYERS FL        X  6 12  2 20
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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