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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
47.7N  56.5W      22  6  1  X 29   SABLE ISLAND NS   28  X  X  X 28
49.8N  50.4W       X 14  4  1 19   SYDNEY NS         42  X  X  X 42
51.4N  43.2W       X  X 10  3 13   EDDY POINT NS     48  X  1  X 49
EASTPORT ME        3  X  X  X  3   PTX BASQUES NFLD  32  X  1  X 33
ST JOHN NB        10  X  X  X 10   BURGEO NFLD       28  3  X  X 31
MONCTON NB        15  X  X  X 15   ILE ST PIERRE     21  6  X  1 28
YARMOUTH NS       46  X  X  X 46   CAPE RACE NFLD     3 15  1  X 19
HALIFAX NS        60  X  X  X 60   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  6  7  1 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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