Hurricane OPHELIA
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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON SEP 19 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
39.8N 70.6W 38 1 X X 39 BAR HARBOR ME X 14 1 X 15
42.8N 66.7W X 16 1 X 17 EASTPORT ME X 12 3 X 15
46.0N 60.8W X 1 7 2 10 ST JOHN NB X 9 5 X 14
CAPE HATTERAS NC 99 X X X 99 MONCTON NB X 5 7 X 12
NORFOLK VA 4 X X X 4 YARMOUTH NS X 12 3 1 16
OCEAN CITY MD 19 1 X X 20 HALIFAX NS X 4 8 X 12
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 15 2 X X 17 SABLE ISLAND NS X X 6 3 9
NEW YORK CITY NY 13 4 X X 17 SYDNEY NS X X 6 3 9
MONTAUK POINT NY 20 6 X X 26 EDDY POINT NS X 1 7 2 10
PROVIDENCE RI 12 10 X X 22 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X 5 4 9
NANTUCKET MA 16 11 X X 27 BURGEO NFLD X X 3 6 9
HYANNIS MA 11 13 X X 24 ILE ST PIERRE X X 1 7 8
BOSTON MA 5 14 X X 19 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 7 7
PORTLAND ME 1 14 X X 15 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 6 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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