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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON SEP 19 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
38.0N  72.0W      27  5  X  X 32   BAR HARBOR ME      X  2 12  X 14
41.0N  69.0W       X 16  6  X 22   EASTPORT ME        X  1 12  1 14
44.0N  64.0W       X  X 11  3 14   ST JOHN NB         X  X 11  2 13
MOREHEAD CITY NC   2  X  X  X  2   MONCTON NB         X  X  9  3 12
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  1 14  X 15
NORFOLK VA        18  X  X  X 18   HALIFAX NS         X  X  9  4 13
OCEAN CITY MD     18  2  X  X 20   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  2  8 10
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  10  6  X  X 16   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  8 10
NEW YORK CITY NY   4 11  X  X 15   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  4  7 11
MONTAUK POINT NY   1 18  1  X 20   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  8  9
PROVIDENCE RI      X 17  2  X 19   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  9  9
NANTUCKET MA       X 18  3  1 22   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  9  9
HYANNIS MA         X 17  3  X 20   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  7  7
BOSTON MA          X 13  4  X 17   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
PORTLAND ME        X  6  8  X 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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