Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.4N  74.1W      31  4  X  X 35   PORTLAND ME        X  X 11  2 13
38.7N  71.6W       X 19  6  X 25   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  8  5 13
41.7N  67.7W       X  X 13  3 16   EASTPORT ME        X  X  6  6 12
WILMINGTON NC      3  1  X  X  4   ST JOHN NB         X  X  4  7 11
MOREHEAD CITY NC  99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  X  2  8 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  6  7 13
NORFOLK VA        21  4  X  X 25   HALIFAX NS         X  X  2  9 11
OCEAN CITY MD     11 14  X  X 25   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  8  8
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   2 17  2  1 22   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  9  9
NEW YORK CITY NY   X 12  7  X 19   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  9  9
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  8 12  X 20   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  8  8
PROVIDENCE RI      X  4 14  X 18   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
NANTUCKET MA       X  3 15  1 19   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  6  6
HYANNIS MA         X  2 16  X 18   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  4  4
BOSTON MA          X  2 14  X 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN