Hurricane OPHELIA
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT THU SEP 15 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.9N 77.5W 99 X X X 99 MOREHEAD CITY NC 6 8 4 2 20
32.5N 77.6W 53 X X X 53 CAPE HATTERAS NC 1 8 5 4 18
33.3N 77.5W 27 1 1 X 29 NORFOLK VA X 1 6 7 14
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 X 2 3 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 8 10
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 2 1 3 7 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 7 7
SAVANNAH GA 3 6 3 2 14 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC 11 5 2 2 20 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC 13 5 2 2 22 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC 10 7 3 2 22 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
NNNN