Hurricane OPHELIA
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HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT WED SEP 14 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.9N 77.1W 99 X X X 99 NORFOLK VA X 1 5 6 12
32.4N 77.3W 56 X X X 56 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 7 8
32.9N 77.3W 42 X X X 42 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 3 3
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 2 3 6 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X 3 3 4 10 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 3 4
SAVANNAH GA 2 6 4 3 15 ST MARKS FL X X 1 4 5
CHARLESTON SC 8 6 3 2 19 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC 12 5 2 2 21 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC 11 5 3 2 21 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC 8 6 3 3 20 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC 2 7 4 4 17
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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