Hurricane OPHELIA

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HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.3N  77.5W      38  X  X  X 38   MOREHEAD CITY NC   1  6  4  3 14
31.5N  77.7W      38  X  X  X 38   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  2  3  4  9
31.6N  78.0W      40  X  X  X 40   NORFOLK VA         X  1  2  4  7
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  2  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  2  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  3  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X  3  3  4 10   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2  5  7
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  4  5   FT MYERS FL        X  X  2  6  8
MIAMI FL           X  X  3  5  8   VENICE FL          X  X  2  6  8
W PALM BEACH FL    X  1  4  5 10   TAMPA FL           X  X  2  7  9
FT PIERCE FL       X  2  5  5 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  2  7  9
COCOA BEACH FL     X  3  5  5 13   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  6  7
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  3  6  5 14   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  5  5
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  2  5  7 14   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  4  6  5 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      6  5  4  3 18   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC    7  7  3  2 19   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      4  8  3  2 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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