Hurricane OPHELIA
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HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 08 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.6N 78.5W 60 X X X 60 CHARLESTON SC 1 7 4 3 15
30.2N 77.8W 34 X 1 X 35 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 7 5 3 15
30.6N 77.0W 17 3 2 1 23 WILMINGTON NC X 5 5 4 14
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 3 3 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 2 5 6 13
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 3 3 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 4 6 10
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 4 5 NORFOLK VA X X 2 5 7
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 2 5 8 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 4 4
MYGF 266N 787W 6 3 2 3 14 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X 2 1 4 7 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 3 4
W PALM BEACH FL 6 2 1 3 12 FT MYERS FL X X 1 4 5
FT PIERCE FL 19 1 X 1 21 VENICE FL X X 1 3 4
COCOA BEACH FL 28 X X 1 29 TAMPA FL X 1 X 4 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL 19 1 X 1 21 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 3 4
JACKSONVILLE FL 2 3 2 3 10 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA 1 4 3 3 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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