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Tropical Storm OPHELIA


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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 07 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.4N  79.7W      99  X  X  X 99   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  6  8
29.8N  79.8W      99  X  X  X 99   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  4  5
30.3N  79.6W      46  X  X  X 46   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  4  5
MYGF 266N 787W     2  2  1  4  9   VENICE FL          X  1  1  4  6
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           1  2  2  4  9
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  4  5   CEDAR KEY FL       2  4  3  4 13
W PALM BEACH FL    2  1  1  4  8   ST MARKS FL        X  4  3  5 12
FT PIERCE FL      23  X  X  X 23   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  2  5  8
COCOA BEACH FL    60  X  X  X 60   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  1  5  7
DAYTONA BEACH FL  25  1  X  1 27   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  4  5
JACKSONVILLE FL   18  3  1  1 23   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
SAVANNAH GA        8  7  2  3 20   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      2  6  4  4 16   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2  5  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  2  4  6 12   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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