Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.0N  86.0W      41  X  X  X 41   APALACHICOLA FL    X  3 10  2 15
26.5N  87.3W       3 26  1  X 30   PANAMA CITY FL     X  3 12  2 17
29.5N  88.5W       X  8 16  1 25   PENSACOLA FL       X  3 16  2 21
MUSN 216N 826W    26  X  X  X 26   MOBILE AL          X  2 18  2 22
MUHA 230N 824W     8  1  X  X  9   GULFPORT MS        X  3 17  2 22
MUAN 219N 850W    60  X  X  X 60   BURAS LA           X  6 16  1 23
MMCZ 205N 869W     9  X  X  X  9   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  2 17  2 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  1 11  4 16
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  3  4   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  3  6  9
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  5  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  3  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
KEY WEST FL        1  X  1  X  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  5  9  2 16
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  X  1  2   GULF 29N 87W       X 12 12  X 24
FT MYERS FL        X  1  X  1  2   GULF 28N 89W       X 17  9  X 26
VENICE FL          X  1  2  1  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  5 12  1 18
TAMPA FL           X  1  2  1  4   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  6  3  9
CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  2  4  7   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  3  4
ST MARKS FL        X  1  6  4 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 
 
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