Tropical Storm ARLENE
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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.8N 85.5W 43 X X X 43 ST MARKS FL X 1 10 3 14
26.0N 86.5W 7 25 X X 32 APALACHICOLA FL X 4 12 2 18
28.5N 87.5W X 13 13 X 26 PANAMA CITY FL X 3 14 2 19
MUSN 216N 826W 27 X X X 27 PENSACOLA FL X 2 16 3 21
MUHA 230N 824W 13 1 X X 14 MOBILE AL X 1 16 4 21
MUAN 219N 850W 60 X X X 60 GULFPORT MS X 1 15 4 20
MMCZ 205N 869W 6 1 X X 7 BURAS LA X 1 16 3 20
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 12 5 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X 5 8 13
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 5 6 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 6 7
SAVANNAH GA X X X 5 5 GALVESTON TX X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X 7 11 2 20
KEY WEST FL 1 2 X 1 4 GULF 29N 87W X 10 14 1 25
MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 X 1 3 GULF 28N 89W X 8 13 1 22
FT MYERS FL X 2 1 1 4 GULF 28N 91W X 1 10 3 14
VENICE FL X 3 3 1 7 GULF 28N 93W X X 2 5 7
TAMPA FL X 2 3 2 7 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
CEDAR KEY FL X 1 6 3 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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