Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162005
2100Z WED OCT 19 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.5N 116.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.7N 118.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 13.1N 119.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.1N 122.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 115.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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