Hurricane JOVA

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HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102005
1500Z FRI SEP 16 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 135.0W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  90SE  90SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 135.0W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 134.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.7N 136.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.8N 138.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.1N 140.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 15.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.0N 148.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 135.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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