Hurricane HILARY

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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
0900Z TUE AUG 23 2005
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 114.6W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 325SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 114.6W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 114.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.9N 115.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.7N 117.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.6N 118.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.4N 120.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 24.0N 127.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.0N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 114.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
 
 
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